As a fan of the lighter weight classes and the WEC in general I am going to sit back and pick the ENTIRE CARD. Hopefully this event goes off without a hitch and all the fighters stay healthy and make weight. Now on to the picks.
PRELIMINARY CARD
Leonard Garcia vs. Chan Sung Jung
Bad Boy Garcia is getting a gift stylistically in Jung. The Korean Zombie is a gamer who is known to wade through punches to initiate his game. Leonard is not the kind of fighter you let hit you at will, especially with his whiplash punches.
- Garcia starts the card off with a bang via TKO
Anthony Pettis vs. Alex Karalexis
In my first live mma event at WEC 47 I saw Anthony ‘Showtime’ Pettis kick Danny Castillo’s head off. I cannot in good faith pick against him.
- Showtime via Cemetery kick
Brad Pickett vs. Demetrious Johnson
In a battle of the cartoon nicknames we have the Brit ‘One Punch’ Pickett and Greg Jackson disciple Demetrious ‘Mighty Mouse’ Johnson. This one will be a good high paced scrap & since I heard an interview with him earlier this week I am going with Mighty Mouse to save the day.
- Johnson via UD
Chad Mendes vs. Anthony Morrison
Even though I really like AntMo/Cheesesteak Morrison, Money Mendes will probably wrestle him to bits. I hope Anthony is able to make a fight out of it or even pull out the win.
- Mendes via UD
Takeya Mizugaki vs. Rani Yahya
Striker vs Grappler, Yay this match up has never happened in mma before/sarcasm. This fight is tricky to call with both fighters coming off pretty bad losses, this bout will be a testament to who can rebound and perform the best. Takeya may not be Yahya’s equal on the ground but is pretty good at staying out of trouble and boxing people up against the cage. Conversely Rani has poor striking defense but has to get in close and hug opponents to the ground or pull guard to initiate his world class bjj. If Mizugaki uses a stiff keep-away jab and times his counter right hook/cross he will win.
- Mizugaki via tko
Brandon Visher vs. Tyler Toner
Brandon ‘The Viper’ Visher is a beast. This will be my first time watching Toner and I wish him the best. But Visher is a fighter on the come up and expect him to make an example out of Toner
- Visher via Violation
MAIN CARD
Mike Brown vs. Manny Gamburyan
Now we start the televised portion of the card, the mma veteran and Judoka in Gamburyan has his work cut out for him. Mike Brown is a beast and probably the strongest featherweight in the division. While he may have problems with quicker opposition anybody who tries to plant their feet to stand and bang with Brown usually end up getting countered and while their brain is still rattling find themselves getting tko’ed or chocked out.
Manny won’t be dumb enough to get drawn into a slobber knocker as evident in his last fight with a frustrated Leonard Garcia. Expect the Manvil to try and turn this into a grappling match but to still lose against the former champ.
- Brown via TKO
Shane Roller vs. Anthony Njokuani
In a fight with title implications for the winner expect an intense scrap. Despite his collegiate wrestling pedigree Shane suffers the plight of all wrestlers getting into MMA, dealing with quality strikers. And Anthony Njokuani is as quality as you can get in the WEC’s lightweight division. Anthony will have to show off any improvements to his defensive wrestling and or offensive guard work if Roller decides he doesn’t want to deal with Njokuani’s stand up. I would usually pick a wrestler in this situation but Shane hasn’t convinced me that he is a world beater while Anthony does have moments of brutal brilliance.
- Njokuani via tko
Scott Jorgensen vs. Antonio Banuelos
In one of the most entertaining back and forth brawls of 2009 in WEC 41 we saw Scotty Jorgensen weather an eye poke and sub sequential beating against Banuelos in their first fight. Thanks to a quick finish in WEC 47 and fighter replacement Jorgensen is out to avenge his split decision loss (one that I believe he won). If Scott can put his hands on the quicker fighter in Antonio and knee the bejesus out of his ribs to slow him down me may be able to get a finish.
But the roommate of Chuck Lidell is anything if not scrappy as hell and will make Jorgensen work for every inch of his eventual win.
- Young Guns Jorgensen via hard fought UD
Co-Main Event
Ben Henderson vs. Donald Cerrone
In their first bout I picked Cerrone to get the interim strap, despite his slow starts and somewhat careless/reckless yet exciting approach to cagefighting. Having only seen him survive a guillotine and knock out Shane Roller I had written off Ben Henderson as just a tough wrestler with a hard overhand right. I was wrong, Cerrone was able to out strike Smooth only after he began to loose steam after wrestling and ground and pounding Cowboy in the first 3 frames.
If Cerrone has improved his wrestling and takedown defense he may have a chance. But seeing has defensive wrestling has always been the Texans Achilles heel I doubt he will be able to cover up the biggest hole in his game against a guy who is as pervasive in his wrestling and grappling ability in Bendo. Cerrone has to hurt and punish Henderson and do his damnedest to put him away. This fight is damn close to call but I’m going to go with….Cerrone I guess.
- Cowboy via TKO
Main Event
Jose Aldo vs. Urijah Faber
This fight will be an early fight of the year candidate, if I sound like a indoctrinated Zuffa zombie then to hell with it, I honestly believe this. In the heavier weight classes we have established divisions with known champs vulnerable to winning fights only to protect and prolong their legacy and doing so in less than exciting fashion. It is a simple case of success leading to stagnant and uninspired performances, winning for winnings sake.
Enter the WEC and the lighter weight classes, known universally in combat sports to be the more technical divisions. While not entirely devoid of the raw power and mainstream appeal of their larger brethren, the lighter guys would lose a bench press and popularity contest. But in regards to technique, tenacity and pure unadulterated speed you have to go with smaller guys and no two fighters embody those aspects more than Urijah Faber and Jose Aldo.
Faber the former champ but still the face of the division and most would say the organization wants to prove himself against in my humble opinion as some no name blogger to be the fastest one of the most dangerous men competing in mma today Jose Aldo. This will be Aldo’s first title defense and stylistically his toughest fight. The California Kid is very tenacious, unpredictable, crafty, kinetic, choose your superlative and or adjective it fits, Faber is tough match-up for any featherweight. In the new champ you have a very young fighter with lethal striking an unused but reportedly dangerous ground game, but what makes Aldo special are his unforgiving killer instinct and blinding speed.
In his title bout with former champ Mike Brown a man who holds 2 wins over Faber and was the only man to finish him. Aldo surprisingly started slow and proceeded to turn up his speed and chain his strikes to batter Brown in the first and then swarm and finish him in the 2nd frame with a tko. In the same fight we also saw that Aldo can defend take downs at least the ones of the bullying variety. While Fabers unorthodox style may give Aldo problems its his speed and wrestling that may be his best chance at victory.
Alas I have to go with the new champ on this one, no doubt this will be his toughest fight. But Aldo will remain the champ.
- Aldo via TKO rnd 2